01:12.1
or at least yung time na you spent with your family and loved ones.
01:15.3
I hope you made the most out of it.
01:17.3
As I said, it's very very important to always take stock of things.
01:20.8
Kung magasabi nga ni Plato,
01:22.5
a life not contemplated upon is not worth living.
01:27.1
So yun ang importante at of course yun din yung dahilan na may sabat day po tayo.
01:31.4
So as you know of course tomorrow is also sabat day so dapat wala rin tayong any kind of live or political commentaries.
01:40.3
Hindi ko alam dun sa mga ibang vloggers na kahit mga holy days or holy week tuloy-tuloy pa rin ang kanilang discussion sa politika.
01:49.1
Pero tayo naman alam mo naman, we try to keep things as much as possible.
01:52.5
In accordance to what at least I believe is you have to separate.
01:58.1
There's a time for war, there's a time for vlogging, there's a time for peace, there's time for love.
02:02.5
So it's very important you make that distinction.
02:04.3
Anyway, let me just say first of all, advance, happy Easter sa inyong lahat.
02:09.4
And I hope you know this moments of reflection, spiritual reflection
02:14.7
will give us the kind of strength and clarity that we need as we look forward
02:20.2
to what will look
02:22.5
will most likely look like a very, very intense year, politically speaking at least, among other things.
02:29.4
Now as you know, there are a couple of things that have been,
02:34.0
because as much as I don't post anything online as you can see, but at least you know once in a
02:38.7
while I have to monitor also what's going on. So mga dalawang bagay na nagdominate ng discussions
02:44.0
over the past few days. One is obviously itong bagong Pulse Asia survey na lumabas or actually
02:53.5
Na-leaked pala. Hindi pala siya official. Kasi yung isang official na dinidistribute ng Pulse
02:59.5
Asia is actually yung sa ukol sa charter change at mukhang sobrang konti yung support for charter
03:04.8
change. This is something that we'll discuss more next week, starting on Monday, God willing.
03:11.2
Also, there's a new survey na lumabas sa Pulse Asia kung saan, looks like, not one but two TOLFOs
03:18.7
are more or less within the range for the top 12. And as far as...
03:22.5
As Erwin Tulfo is concerned, he's really pulling ahead of everyone else.
03:26.2
Even with the margin of error of 3-5%, looks like Erwin Tulfo is still ahead of immediate number 2, former Senate President Tito Soto.
03:36.0
So this is kind of a Tito Soto-Tulfo-Tito versus Tulfo kind of a fight for top-top position in the Senate next year.
03:45.0
Now obviously, this is not the first time that we see a Tulfo topping the surveys.
03:49.0
That was also the case two years ago, except of course, may tinatawag na Robin Hood-Padilla.
03:57.1
Itatago na lang natin sa pangalan na ano.
03:59.9
So yun yung surprise ng 2022 elections because everyone was expecting for Rafi Tulfo to top the race,
04:06.3
but eventually it was Robin Hood-Padilla out of nowhere.
04:08.7
Which raises the question of whether Digong and Bongo, who are tied at number 3,
04:16.0
are in a position to...
04:19.0
pull off an upset.
04:20.5
And I think should a Duterte or a Bongo top the race next year,
04:24.5
that's going to also have a lot of implications because that's going to give a lot of confidence
04:28.5
dun sa kahampo ng mga Dutertes to say,
04:30.9
we're not a spent political force, we're here, we're going to fight.
04:34.8
And especially as more and more issues regarding the ICC,
04:39.5
regarding the West Philippines, among others, are going to come on board.
04:43.1
Pag-usapan din natin yan very shortly.
04:46.8
Now, if you look at it,
04:49.0
yung mga lumalaban for the last few slots,
04:51.8
it looks like Aimee Marcos is more or less out of top 5.
04:55.8
She's in the 16 to 13 slots.
04:58.1
So there's actually a possibility that Aimee Marcos might not even win a seat
05:02.1
next year's 2025 Senate elections,
05:05.1
which tells you a lot about...
05:08.6
Let's just say, yung backlash sigulo sa kanyang strategy.
05:15.5
Because if you look at her strategy, first you had the maiden manifesto.
05:18.7
I'm sorry, maiden Malacanang 1.1 and 2.
05:22.2
2, di ko nang pinatulan.
05:24.4
1 was more than enough for that kind of genre of movies and arts and history.
05:32.0
And then the whole thing, of course, alam nyo naman,
05:34.3
maiden Marites was all about,
05:36.0
siya na, siya na.
05:37.0
Siya na ang pinakamagaling na anak ni Marcos Sr.
05:40.2
Siya na ang pinakamagaling na lahat.
05:44.3
Siya na ang sentro ng mundo.
05:46.6
Center of the universe.
05:48.7
And then yung pakriticize sa kapatid niya.
05:51.2
And then eventually what we saw is that
05:53.1
obviously it looks like she has alienated the administration,
05:58.0
if not, you know, the first family.
06:00.4
But also it looks like the Dutertes are not necessarily completely happy with them
06:03.9
as we saw in the case of Baste,
06:08.0
coming out and openly saying,
06:10.1
wag kang maghanas masyado, essentially.
06:12.0
So these are things that we discussed before.
06:13.3
So whatever Aimee Marcos was thinking about,
06:16.4
which is siguro positioning herself for presidency,
06:18.7
or vice-presidency in 2028,
06:21.5
I think realistically more vice-presidents.
06:23.9
I heard first na there were plans daw na to run for mayor of Manila.
06:30.9
As I said, base dun sa pag-intindi ko,
06:34.9
solid pa rin yung kasalikuin na administration sa Manila.
06:38.9
And my sense is if Aimee Marcos was really in a driver's seat dun sa race sa Manila,
06:45.8
I wouldn't be surprised if Isko Moreno would have considered,
06:48.7
to run again for mayor of Manila.
06:50.7
Except the interesting thing is actually both Isko Moreno and Aimee Marcos are statistically tied.
06:55.3
Both of them pasok sa,
06:57.1
actually not exactly magic 12,
06:59.6
kasi pwede rin mag number 13 sila.
07:01.8
But more or less within the range sila for top 12, right?
07:05.7
So that's quite interesting.
07:07.1
And then, this is even more interesting.
07:09.5
Tied si Ben Tulfo kay Aimee Marcos at saka kay Isko Moreno, right?
07:16.9
Which tells you a lot about ito talaga.
07:18.8
Mga Tulfos talaga, they're well on their way to build their own political dynasties as things go.
07:26.2
But as I said, they are all Tulfos, but from broader to broader, different dynamics.
07:31.6
I don't think Ben Tulfo is the same political element, species, whatever you want to call it, as Erwin Tulfo.
07:41.6
And I think Rafi Tulfo is also a very different kind of Tulfo.
07:45.3
Nevertheless, this is yung tatak Tulfo.
07:47.5
Naikita natin malakas pa rin.
07:48.8
At lakas pa rin ang dating niya.
07:51.8
Lito Lapit, medyo pasok.
07:58.7
Willie Revillame, medyo pasok.
08:02.8
Willie Ong, medyo pasok.
08:04.6
Pero risky pa rin.
08:05.4
Up to 16-17 pa sila.
08:07.3
And then, more or less, andun din si Pangilinan and Ralph Recto.
08:14.8
But, looks like things are a bit tough.
08:18.7
For the opposition, Lenny's down the list.
08:24.0
So, it's really Kiko and Bam who are quite competitive for this.
08:28.9
Mukhang labas din ng mahirapan din si Francis Tolentino for re-election.
08:34.1
Mukhang gi-butchador.
08:35.3
Despite all of his, I would say, very encouraging positioning dito sa West Philippine Sea,
08:39.1
will also be in top position.
08:40.9
And then, I don't see Harry, Harry, si ex-human rights lawyer, medyo wala siya dito.
08:47.5
At things are also slightly.
08:48.6
It's going to be difficult for, I think, Jokno, Trillanes, among others.
08:54.7
Including also Abalos, Benjamin Abalos, who was, in many ways, the engine of organization.
09:02.6
The consigliere of the current president.
09:05.5
So, this is a very tough, very tough Senate race, which we'll discuss even more in the coming days.
09:11.6
Hopefully, next week.
09:13.6
So, ipopose natin later on next week, hopefully, dito para makita ninyo talaga yung breakdown.
09:18.6
Obviously, Paul's Asia is not the only one in town.
09:22.0
We are going to look at also other surveys by OCTA, also other authoritative surveys, just to give an idea.
09:27.2
But what we see consistently is Erwin Tulfo coming on top.
09:30.2
And he's, even with a margin of error 3 to 5 percent, well ahead of everyone else.
09:36.2
So, we have one more, another race whereby Tulfo, once again, is a frontrunner.
09:40.6
So, that tells you a lot about anong hinahanap ng taong bayan,
09:44.0
or ano yung pag-intindi ng ating mga kababayan dun sa trabaho ng Senado.
09:50.0
So, siguro yung concept nila ng isang fiscalizer, isang lumalaban para sa ustisya,
09:55.5
ay hindi katulad ni Jokno, who's a constitutional law expert, but it's someone like mga Tulfos.
10:01.8
Because the interesting thing is that Ben Tulfo, who unlike Erwin Tulfo, has no background whatsoever in political office.
10:07.6
In fairness, kay Erwin Tulfo, at least, he spent some time in the DSWD.
10:12.2
And as I can say, based on my observation, based on conversations with him, based on interviews with him, etc.
10:17.2
I don't think he did.
10:18.6
I think he did pretty decently, and he was quite proactive in responding to different crises dun sa kanyang termino bilang DSWD Secretary.
10:29.0
So, I won't blame if people actually see a lot of hope and a lot of proactiveness in Erwin Tulfo.
10:35.0
Ibang usapan siguro, Ben Tulfo, we can also talk about that later on.
10:38.1
Are both of them gonna run?
10:42.3
May nagsabi sa akin na Batisimon Tulfo ay gusto mag-position na, but I think three is a little bit too much.
10:47.3
Three is a crowd.
10:48.6
Two is a bit doable.
10:49.6
Three is a cloud.
10:51.1
So, pag-usapan natin yan, guys.
10:52.7
Don't worry about it.
10:53.7
Ipa-flash natin yung mga surveys, implications.
10:57.4
Kasi, I think within the next three to five months, we'll have an idea about who are really more or less, you know, shoe-in dito sa Senate race.
11:10.8
And then, how difficult and competitive it's gonna be for the opposition.
11:14.1
As I said, this is likely the most difficult.
11:17.3
This is likely the most difficult.
11:18.6
This is gonna be the most difficult Senate race.
11:21.7
So, kudus dun sa mga membro ng tunay na opposition, kudus dun sa mga lumalaban para sa tunay na demokrasya who are entering this race, even if it's gonna look very, very difficult for them.
11:34.6
Having said that, you never know, right?
11:36.8
No one saw Robin Hood Padilla topping the race in 2022 elections.
11:40.9
No one saw back in the day, Mar Rojas topping the Senate elections, although he spent a lot on the advertising, Mr. Palenque.
11:46.5
We also saw Grace Bowe out of nowhere from MTRCB chief, suddenly becoming the top.
11:53.8
I think few saw Cynthia Villar, by the way, just to remind you, topped the 2019 Senate elections.
11:59.0
So, we don't know.
12:00.1
Things could move.
12:00.7
Things could get very interesting.
12:01.8
I would say also, Villeneva, Senator Villeneva coming up at number two in 2016 elections was also another big, big, big surprise.
12:09.7
So, things could still move.
12:11.3
But at least one thing we are seeing consistently is Ervin Tulfo cementing his position.
12:16.5
A clear frontrunner and potentially gonna be joined by another Tulfo.
12:20.2
Now, the other thing that is interesting here is that dahil eto si Nancy Binay, patapos na yung kanyang diretsyong termina, dalawang termina na, just like Grace Bowe.
12:28.7
Now, suddenly, it looks like another Binay is in position to run for the highest office and that's Abigail Binay.
12:34.6
And so, I would say she's probably even the most capable Binay out there as far as the siblings or rather the offsprings of the former vice president is concerned.
12:44.6
We can have more conversation about that.
12:46.5
Things are quite interesting.
12:48.0
And in fairness, sa mga kanyang Nancy Binay, her reinvention throughout the years has been quite impressive.
12:52.9
Not only in terms of branding, but also in terms of policy positioning and voting, including doon sa bota niya about Kiboloy and other sensitive issues doon sa relevant agencies, including yung mga committee sa ilalim ni Riza Jontiveros.
13:04.5
Now, we'll discuss more about that, but it looks like not much has really, really changed.
13:11.3
And while the number one to number four and five looks like more or less steady.
13:15.8
From five onwards, it's extremely competitive.
13:19.9
And there's a very good chance na may mga re-electionists like Senator Francis Tolentino, mukhang medyo mahirapan sila.
13:29.4
And also others like dating mga medyo shoe-in, katulad ni Gregorio Honasan, mukhang medyo mahirapan din sila.
13:36.6
Not to mention also Pam Aquino and Francis Pangilina are still at the edge of entering within the threshold of their competitive position.
13:45.8
15 to 20 people for the top position.
13:50.4
So actually, Pangilina is number 14 to 18, and BAM is 18 to 28.
13:56.0
Alright, so this is gonna be tough. Very, very tough.
13:59.7
Now, if you look at the spread from number one, almost 60% expressing their preference for Tulfo.
14:07.7
And then you look at the opposition figures of Pangilina, and it's barely 20%.
14:11.3
So it's almost like 3 to 1 ratio.
14:13.8
So three times people...
14:15.8
Three times more people preferring people like Erwin Tulfo over seasoned, not only legislators, but also human rights activists, lawyers, among others, like Pangilina.
14:29.8
So again, that also tells you something about the nature of our political culture nowadays.
14:35.3
But as I said, things could still change.
14:37.4
I think the number 1 to 5 is more or less solidifying.
14:40.9
Ang tanong lang dito is if Tigong is gonna run.
14:43.1
And if Tigong is gonna run, is he gonna go for gold?
14:47.5
Because I think if Tigong or Bong go top the race next year, that's gonna add a different, different dynamic.
14:53.2
Very, very different dynamic.
14:55.2
Okay, pag-usapan natin itong mga kamayatang more on Monday, among others.
14:59.9
In the meantime, let me tell you this.
15:01.8
Isa sa mga issues na sobrang, sobrang, sobrang mainit over the past few days
15:11.6
ay itong issue ng Ayunginsol.
15:13.9
Which I wanna discuss more also.
15:15.7
In the coming days.
15:24.6
So magkakaroon ng isang hearing dyan sa Senado, led by Senator J.V. Ejecito,
15:30.5
kung saan pag-usapan ng issue ng fake news.
15:33.1
So yung mga mahilig mag-buljakan, mahilig mag-claim na meron silang mga polvoronic videos,
15:38.6
mahilig gumawa ng mga fake news, mga walang kwentang mga istorya para na makuha ng views at maging relevant,
15:45.6
Kung niyari may content, or kung niyari may conviction sa buhay.
15:48.5
O yan, yung mga ganon.
15:49.4
Medyo ingat-ingat kayo dyan.
15:50.8
Lalo yung mga epal-epal effect dyan.
15:53.3
At kailangan magbagong buhay.
15:56.4
So mukhang magkakaroon ng isang masinsina na hearing ukol sa fake news.
16:01.8
But the important thing is that ang angulo ng mga fake news na yan, mga kamayata,
16:06.3
ay hindi lang necessarily yung mga nagsispread ng mga, kung niyari, polvoronic videos,
16:11.2
or mayroon daw silang polvoronic videos na may, siguro pinapagawa pa ng CJ,
16:15.6
pinapag, gumagawa pa sila ng deepfake siguro.
16:21.3
Baka kulang yung budget nila dati, kaya natagalan yung launching.
16:25.4
So siguro by April daw, maging ready na yan.
16:28.0
So ayun ako, ayun ako, ayun ako, hintayin natin yan.
16:31.6
Anyway, the thing here is, hindi lang ito about fake news.
16:38.7
Ito ay ukol din dun sa mga bloggers na...
16:42.1
Sasabihin na lang natin, mga bayaran.
16:47.4
At hindi lang bayaran ng mga trapo, hindi lang bayaran ng mga potential criminal elements.
16:54.5
Potentially, ito yung mga tao na potentially, or I'm just being nice by saying potentially,
16:59.4
pero mukhang medyo obvious naman, na bayaran ng isang bansa na nagbubuli sa atin sa West Philippine Sea.
17:06.9
Obviously, meron tayong influence operations.
17:10.9
Meron tayong disinformation campaign.
17:13.7
Meron tayong mga bayaran ng Harleca campaign.
17:17.6
Kung saan, para palitan natin yung pulisiyan natin sa West Philippine Sea,
17:23.0
para hindi tayo mag-assert ng ating claims sa West Philippine Sea,
17:26.9
para maging mas mahina yung ating bansa, para maging mas divided tayo.
17:33.5
Ang plan nga natin ng mga ito, mga bayaran ng China,
17:37.2
is sasabihin nila, nako, nako, magkakaroon ng giyera.
17:40.9
Hindi nyo makulit, kaya huwag nyo na idama yung Amerika.
17:43.2
So meron mga grupong ganun.
17:44.9
Now, obviously, may mga, unfortunately, may mga tao na talagang misguided,
17:48.2
na yung kanilang positioning ay base sa ideoloya na 1960s pa,
17:52.6
at hindi pa masyado na-update.
17:55.3
Ang baton na tikit sa hair ko.
17:57.8
Hindi, nakakaligo lang natin kanina.
18:03.1
hindi natin pang-usapan, guys, yung mga,
18:05.9
yung mga, unfortunately, medyo,
18:10.9
naka-download na mga questionable mga 1960s Maoist, mga ek-ek na ganyan.
18:16.8
Hindi, hindi yung mga ganun, ha?
18:18.3
Hindi yung mga na-stock pa sa 1960s, 70s Cold War, ha?
18:21.8
Hindi, hindi yung mga yung pinag-usapan.
18:23.1
Yung mga yan ay, ah,
18:25.2
bahala na lang sila.
18:26.9
Kaya nga sila completely irrelevant,
18:28.7
dahil irrelevant yung kanilang thinking at positioning.
18:31.0
Hindi sila nagka-update.
18:32.3
Sa aking palagay, kung kunyari, gumising si Karl Marx at si Engels,
18:36.6
at nakita nila itong mga ito, sabi nila,
18:39.1
kakahiyaan nila yung mga ganitong tao.
18:40.9
So, dahil sila po ay isang clear, clear negation
18:46.0
of the spirit of dialectical analysis,
18:48.2
the spirit of constant research and updating,
18:50.8
nakikita natin sa mga works nila, Engels, among others.
18:53.3
But anyway, mga abang usapan yan,
18:55.6
ayaw natin pumunta dyan.
18:56.6
Now, now, hindi yung mga ganyan taong pinag-usapan natin, mga kamets, ha?
19:00.7
Hindi yung mga ganun.
19:02.8
I want to say something, but again, we're in a holy week,
19:05.5
holy day, mag-Eastern na po, shortly.
19:09.6
So, we're going to be nice, no?
19:12.4
Ano ba yung nagdikit dito?
19:20.3
Ang pinag-usapan natin itong mga tao na clearly may script.
19:23.8
Clearly may talking points.
19:26.1
At obvious talaga yan, eh.
19:28.7
Unang-una, yung iba dyan, location pa lang.
19:34.8
Location pa lang, medyo.
19:38.0
Pangalawa, kita natin,
19:39.6
yung talking points ng Chinese embassy,
19:43.2
talking points ng Chinese foreign ministry,
19:45.2
talking points ng mga Chinese na propagandist na 50 Cent Club,
19:51.4
ay halos exactly yun din ang talking points sila.
19:54.8
Halos exactly the same.
19:57.0
Essentially yung Asia for Asians,
19:59.3
which essentially means let China dominate this part of the world,
20:02.6
yung sisisiin ng Amerika sa lahat ng mali nangyara sa mundo.
20:05.4
Hindi ko sinasabi walang mali ang US.
20:06.7
Ang daming mga maling ginawa ng Amerika all around the world,
20:09.6
including sa Afghanistan, sa Iraq, sa Kitnang Silangan.
20:13.0
I can go on and on about the mistakes ng mga Western countries.
20:16.5
Pero, that doesn't excuse yung mga ginagawa, okay?
20:19.9
Yung ginagawa ng China sa atin, okay?
20:22.9
Just because US did something wrong, that doesn't excuse the others like Russia or China
20:28.0
to bully their smaller neighbors, okay?
20:29.6
Let's be very clear about that.
20:30.8
So, huwag kayong magpa-apektos dun sa mga ano yan.
20:35.5
So, the other one is clear yung parallel ng talking points sila.
20:39.3
At saka yung mga talking points ng Beijing-based officials or Beijing-based essentially thought leaders and propagandists.
20:45.7
Ito pang interesting.
20:47.4
Hindi ko alam sa inyo kung nakapunta kayo sa China and all.
20:49.9
Pero, dun sa mga iba sa atin nakapunta sa China, actually bawal po ang Twitter, bawal po ang Facebook.
20:55.8
Ang hirap po mag-connect ngayon sa Facebook at Twitter at saka mga ganyan accounts,
20:59.9
mga Western tech companies sa China dahil napaka-strict yung kanilang regulation dun sa VPN nila.
21:05.3
So, kahit meron kang VPN, mahirapan ka pumasok.
21:08.1
Ganon ka galing yung...
21:09.3
So-called Great Wall of China.
21:11.2
So, kung may mga iba dyan na bloggers na based sa China at ang ganda ng connection nila,
21:14.9
ang ganda pa rin ng ano nila,
21:16.6
pag-tweet nila, Facebook nila,
21:19.4
bakit ang ganda ng connection nila
21:20.9
habang napaka-hirap
21:23.3
na mag-post sa Twitter, Facebook kung based ka sa China even if meron kang VPN.
21:28.4
Alam ko yan dahil marami akong kaibigan ng scholars and experts na based sa China
21:32.0
na hindi pulvoronic mag-isip.
21:34.5
Medyo matinitin na mag-isip.
21:35.6
At ako naman guys, just to be clear,
21:37.3
just to be clear,
21:39.3
kahit may disagreements ako sa China sa issue ng West Philippine Sea,
21:43.2
marami naman mga bagay sa China na gustong-gusto ko.
21:46.6
I love their culture and civilization.
21:48.4
I love their history.
21:50.7
There's so much amazing stuff about China.
21:52.9
I love their hard work, their work ethic.
21:54.9
Marami tayong mga kaibigan, mga Chino throughout the years.
21:57.8
I keep in touch with experts and friends there.
22:03.2
I'm keeping in touch also dito sa mga latest na pangyayari.
22:07.0
Alam mo yung phone na Xiaomi?
22:09.3
Alam nyo yung phone na Xiaomi, guys?
22:11.7
Mayroon na silang kotse.
22:13.5
Kumuha na sila ng kotse.
22:15.4
So, mayroon ng Xiaomi car ngayon, guys.
22:18.1
Saan ka pa, diba?
22:19.1
May Xiaomi car na ngayon.
22:21.0
At itong Xiaomi car niyan,
22:23.4
well, medyo may kamukha siyang kotse
22:25.5
na itago na lang natin sa pangalan na Porsche.
22:29.7
Pero maganda pa rin eh.
22:31.5
At yung 1 to 100 niyan,
22:33.1
mahawakan niya daw niya sa 3 seconds.
22:34.6
Obviously, minsan medyo, you know,
22:36.7
you take with a grain of salt yung mga claims nila sa mga Chinese.
22:39.3
Of course, but guys,
22:43.0
they look very affordable,
22:45.0
very interesting.
22:46.3
And kahit sabihin natin,
22:47.6
Alam ko, sabihin ng copycat ng Porsche and all of that.
22:51.0
ngayon, medyo ganun ang China.
22:52.4
Pero give it 3, 4, 5 years,
22:53.7
kaganda yung mga kotse nila.
22:55.4
At yung BYD ng China,
23:01.1
gusto ko lang ilabas ito.
23:03.5
Kasi, grabe yung mga kulay ng kotse nila.
23:09.3
grabe ko, ibang klase.
23:13.2
So, you can see, guys,
23:14.9
I constantly keep in touch with developments in China.
23:17.8
Dahil hindi ako hater.
23:18.7
I appreciate China.
23:20.6
I love their determination.
23:22.2
O, kahit sabihin natin,
23:27.0
Meta Color pa, o.
23:33.1
alam mo, kung wala lang ako concern sa privacy ko
23:35.7
at siyang mga datos ko and all.
23:37.2
Kasi, syempre, yun ang problema sa mga ganyang kotse.
23:39.3
I mean, actually, any modern car you buy right now,
23:42.9
pag kinonect mo yung phone mo and all of that,
23:44.9
potentially, makompromise ka.
23:46.4
Lalo itong mga Chinese car, very, very yan yan eh.
23:48.4
Very high-tech yan, in fairness.
23:52.4
and if you look at them,
23:56.5
talagang super connected sila. Smart car sila.
23:59.1
Diba? So, good luck sa mga datos mo yan.
24:01.1
O, see? I mean, look at the colors.
24:03.7
And look at the design. Yes, it looks like Taycan.
24:06.0
I mean, which is my ultimate
24:09.3
crush car, if I can put it that way.
24:11.3
If, if there's one car na sobrang
24:13.3
gusto mo gusto ko na EV,
24:15.3
hindi Tesla yung mga ganyan, lahos na yung mga sa akin.
24:17.3
Siyempre, love natin ang
24:19.3
BMW and all of that. But, but,
24:21.3
Taycan, of course, is the best. So, this one really looks
24:23.3
like one. So, again, pwede natin
24:25.3
pagtawan ng China and all of that. But, guys,
24:27.3
imagine mo ba ito yung Xiaomi nila na phone.
24:29.3
Nakakagawa sila ng ganyan ng kotse. So,
24:31.3
so, what I'm saying is that,
24:33.3
in theory, I'm all good
24:35.3
with trading with China,
24:37.3
with getting investment from China. Kung tindi
24:39.3
tignan mo yung trend sa Laos, tignan mo yung trend
24:41.3
sa Indonesia. Ang ganda nang ginawa ng China. But,
24:43.3
hindi naman tayo ututo.
24:45.3
Yan ang difference natin dun sa iba.
24:49.3
sa Pilipinas, guys, is
24:51.3
Toyota Sof. Mahal naman kasi, guys.
24:55.3
ang presyo niya. Yung,
24:57.3
you wanna get a Porsche,
24:59.3
it's gonna be like, like what?
25:01.3
10 times the price or 8 times
25:03.3
the price. But, anyway, what I'm saying
25:07.3
kasi sa Pilipinas is either, so,
25:09.3
sobrang anti-China, halos racist
25:11.3
and prejudicial, at sobrang pro-US.
25:17.3
na nagbubulag-bulagan dun sa mga
25:19.3
problema sa China, at masyadong
25:21.3
niraromanticize yung China. Like, for instance, yung
25:23.3
project sa Indonesia na Bandung-Jakarta,
25:25.3
railway projects, sobrang
25:27.3
overpriced, sobrang tagal, etc.
25:29.3
But, hindi dapat tayo hater.
25:31.3
So, which brings us to
25:35.3
itong issue natin ngayon. So, clearly,
25:39.3
Clearly, may script.
25:41.3
Clearly, may plano sila na
25:43.3
tatakotin tayo. Dalawa lang naman sa
25:45.3
estilo nila eh. Sasabihin
25:49.3
wag kayong mag, ano,
25:51.3
wag kayong lumaban masyado dyan sa
25:53.3
West Philippine Sea, kasi ang mangyari dyan is
25:55.3
magkakaroon ng gyera. Which is,
25:57.3
yan ang pulvoronic ng pag-iisip.
25:59.3
Hello, we took China to international
26:01.3
court, wala namang gyera nangyari.
26:03.3
Hello, dalawang taon na tayo lumalaban
26:05.3
sa China, wala namang nangyari gyera.
26:07.3
Okay, water cannon is bad.
26:11.3
jump into, you know, conclusions
26:13.3
right away. Ang Pilipinas ay marami
26:15.3
pang options. We can actually go for
26:17.3
using bigger ships,
26:19.3
warships, we can,
26:21.3
you know, bring in our allies to do joint patrols
26:23.3
in the areas, etc. So, wag tayong
26:25.3
masyadong magpatakot.
26:27.3
Nananakot kasi sila eh,
26:29.3
yung mga bayaran dyan.
26:31.3
Pangalawa naman, ang gagawin nila, sabihin nila,
26:33.3
hindi, hindi, dahil sa ginagawa natin,
26:35.3
hindi natin makukuha yung mga investments sa China.
26:37.3
So, yung mga ibang mga bayaran dyan,
26:39.3
ang pinapost nila, tignan mo yung Indonesia,
26:41.3
napakaganda yung country nila dahil mabait
26:43.3
sila sa China. And, except,
26:45.3
you know, the reason Indonesia is doing
26:47.3
well is because they're dealing with, they're getting
26:49.3
investments from Japan, they're getting investments from
26:51.3
Netherlands, they're getting investments from many places.
26:53.3
The same thing with Vietnam. Lahat ng mga
26:55.3
countries na yun, umasa yun. So, hindi dahil sa China
26:57.3
lang. Umasa yun sila dahil kumukuha sila ng investments
26:59.3
from all around the world. So, they're doing
27:01.3
well 360 degrees.
27:03.3
And lahat ng mga bansa na yun, katulad na sinabi natin,
27:05.3
ay lumaban na sa China dati pa.
27:07.3
So, nung nagets ng China na hindi sila
27:11.3
tatay lang, pwede
27:13.3
matuterta lang, then they began
27:15.3
to respect us. Now, going back
27:17.3
to this, as I said,
27:19.3
dalawang aspeto neto eh.
27:27.3
kailangan talaga natin i-investigate, guys.
27:29.3
Kailangan talaga natin i-investigate
27:31.3
ano itong gentleman's agreement
27:33.3
na sinasabi ni ex-human
27:37.3
Ito si Harry Harry. Because,
27:39.3
potentially against
27:41.3
sa ating, hindi lang national interest,
27:43.3
but potentially unconstitutional, and I'm not gonna use
27:45.3
the word, you know what word I'm gonna use.
27:51.3
Marcos Jr., they have to investigate this.
27:53.3
And most importantly, the Senate has to
27:55.3
investigate this. Okay, wait lang, may mga
27:59.3
Okay, tanggal natin.
28:01.3
May mga troll dito. Umayis kayo,
28:05.3
Balikan natin ito, guys.
28:07.3
First of all, there has to be a very, very,
28:09.3
very, very clear investigation.
28:11.3
Ano itong gentleman's agreement
28:13.3
niyan? Because iba yung sinasabi
28:15.3
ni Bato, iba yung sinasabi ni
28:17.3
ni, I don't know, Digong, kung may sinasabi pa siya
28:19.3
mga tinong. Iba yung sinasabi ni Harry,
28:21.3
iba yung sinasabi. So we have to investigate
28:23.3
what's going on here. Pangalawa,
28:25.3
we also have to keep in mind,
28:29.3
wala tayong choice.
28:31.3
We have to stand our ground
28:33.3
until China realizes na hindi tayo
28:37.3
But having said that,
28:39.3
alright, so first, there
28:41.3
has to be very serious investigations.
28:43.3
Hindi lang sa mga fake news peddlers,
28:45.3
pero dun sa mga amo nila.
28:47.3
Hindi amo nila sa China, yung mga amo nila dito
28:49.3
or yung mga middleman nila dito.
28:51.3
Bapat rin mga investigation dun sa mga
28:53.3
questionable deals or gentleman's
28:55.3
agreement or whatever agreement na naganap
28:57.3
nung panahon ng dating administration.
28:59.3
There has to be a very
29:01.3
thorough, comprehensive,
29:05.3
investigation. Hindi hater,
29:09.3
anti-China, gano'n. No, no, no.
29:11.3
But at the same time,
29:13.3
we have to be very clear, guys.
29:17.3
Hindi naman pwede sabihin na,
29:21.3
pag di tayo lumaban para sa
29:23.3
para sa ayong insyol,
29:25.3
parang binigay mo na sa kanila yan.
29:27.3
Parang gano'n na lang. Parang nag-give up ka na lang.
29:29.3
And next thing you know, lahat na lang
29:31.3
ng ating karagatan, lahat ng ating
29:33.3
fishery resources, lahat ng ating oil and gas,
29:35.3
dyan sa West Plains, good luck na lang.
29:37.3
Ang mawawala sa atin, yung sarili natin,
29:39.3
respeto natin sa sarili natin,
29:41.3
mawawala natin yung dangal
29:43.3
ng ating bayan, at mawawala ang billions
29:45.3
of dollars, if not trillions of dollars
29:47.3
of resources. So,
29:49.3
sobrang mahalaga, guys, na
29:51.3
talagang pag-aralan na mabuti ng Senado.
29:53.3
Yes, we need a serious
29:55.3
Senate hearing. So, I'm
29:57.3
calling upon J.V. Ejercito at saka ibang senador
29:59.3
dyan na not to only investigate itong mga
30:01.3
fake news peddlers, mga bayaran na yan.
30:03.3
Now, yung iba naman sobrang obvious na.
30:05.3
Kailangan ba natin
30:11.3
yung mga major, minor bloggers, whatever,
30:13.3
kailangan din ang pag-aralan na mabuti.
30:15.3
Ano ba itong ginagawa ng China na
30:17.3
disinformation? At ano itong mga
30:19.3
sikreto or gentleman's
30:21.3
agreement na meron sila na walang
30:25.3
signature, walang formal
30:27.3
agreement, walang treaty,
30:31.3
MOU, walang ganun. Kailangan
30:33.3
talaga investigate na ng Senate. Hindi pwede
30:35.3
investigate lang yung mga trolls.
30:37.3
Alam ko, nainis si J.V. dahil tinutrol-trol-trol
30:39.3
siya yung mga nagtutrol sa amin ng 5-6
30:41.3
years. Okay, good yan, sir. Go after
30:43.3
them. But just to remind everyone,
30:45.3
yung mga iba dyan na ngayon, biglang
30:47.3
tapang-tapangan ng
30:49.3
Gilas, Pilipinas, West Philippine Sea,
30:51.3
anong sinasabi nyo ng panonidigong? Okay?
30:53.3
Anong sinasabi nyo sa China?
30:55.3
Excuse me. At saka yung mga
30:57.3
naging pahiro-hiro dyan sa West Philippine Sea,
30:59.3
anong ginagawa nyo ng panonidigong?
31:01.3
Yun ang sinasabing ko eh. Okay?
31:05.3
Anong sinasabi mo?
31:07.3
Anong sinasabi mo?
31:11.3
Sir Son, kung ayaw mo dito, dumalis ka.
31:13.3
Hindi ka naman...
31:17.3
there has to be an investigation, not only in terms of
31:19.3
disinformation campaign, not only in terms of bayaran,
31:21.3
whether minor, major, whatever, vlogger,
31:23.3
but, kailangan din na investigate
31:27.3
sinasabi, guys, na
31:31.3
agreement. That's very, very important.
31:33.3
Very, very important. And
31:35.3
from there, we have to make it clear.
31:37.3
Anong, anong, anong
31:39.3
ang strategy talaga ni Marcos Jr.?
31:41.3
Now, in fairness kay Marcos Jr., maayos
31:43.3
yung kanyang statement na
31:45.3
Filipinos do not yield,
31:47.3
we are for democracy,
31:49.3
I'm sorry, we are for diplomacy, but
31:51.3
we're not gonna, you know,
31:53.3
essentially give up on our
31:55.3
national interest. Maganda, maganda yung speech.
31:57.3
Kung sino nagsulat ng speech ni BBM,
31:59.3
in fairness sa kanya, maayos. At
32:01.3
in fairness din kay
32:03.3
President Marcos Jr. for openly
32:07.3
na if everman may ganyan
32:09.3
na gentleman's agreement na kwesyonable
32:11.3
sa pagitan ni Digong at sa pagitan
32:13.3
ng China, he's gonna rescind it.
32:15.3
My problem though is, two,
32:17.3
unang-una, hindi pwede
32:19.3
sabihin mo na kung anong ginawa ni Digong
32:21.3
kung mali, oh, hindi ko na gagawin. Hindi. Dapat
32:23.3
investigate natin kung may mali talaga nangyari.
32:25.3
Dapat talaga isicheck natin yan.
32:29.3
You cannot just say, oh, baliwala na lang. Hindi pwede yan.
32:33.3
Huwag na nandama yung mga
32:35.3
ghostwriters. Hindi po ghostwriter
32:37.3
tawag siya. Meron nga siyang,
32:39.3
kaya nga may PCO eh, may Presidential
32:41.3
Communications Office eh. Hindi naman ghostwriter
32:43.3
mga yan. Trabaho talaga nila gumawa
32:45.3
ng magandang speech. Alright?
32:47.3
So, bigyan naman natin ng
32:49.3
magandang, magandang,
32:51.3
let's give credit where credit is due. No,
32:55.3
BBM also has to be very clear.
32:57.3
Ano itong sinasabi niya na tutulungan tayo
32:59.3
ng mga aliado natin? Ano itong sinasabi niya na tutulungan tayo ng mga aliado natin?
33:01.3
Ano itong sinasabi niya na tutulungan tayo ng mga aliado natin?
33:03.3
Meron tayong mga package of countermeasures. Now,
33:05.3
of course, naintindihan ko na may mga
33:07.3
bagay na hindi pwede sabihin in public
33:09.3
for tactical and strategic reasons.
33:13.3
because, of course, you wanna
33:15.3
always have the element of surprise,
33:17.3
and you also want to have your options,
33:19.3
a range of options open to you.
33:21.3
Strategic also, of course, wala kang gustong
33:23.3
sabihin na potentially mag-undermine
33:25.3
ng mga aliado mo, because let's not
33:27.3
forget, ang US, Australia, Japan,
33:29.3
may sarili din silang interest when it comes to
33:31.3
China. It is true na
33:33.3
meron tayong convergence of interest with these countries
33:35.3
in fighting against bullying sa West Philippine Sea
33:37.3
because ayaw rin nila na ma-dominate ng South China Sea
33:39.3
at West Philippine Sea ng China.
33:41.3
But at the same time, yung mga bansa na yan,
33:43.3
may sarili din silang bilateral relationship
33:45.3
and complications with China. So I understand
33:47.3
for strategic and tactical reasons, for intelligence
33:49.3
reasons, for bilateral strategic
33:51.3
relations reasons,
33:53.3
BBM cannot say everything. But at the same
33:57.3
I hope we will see, and we will
33:59.3
hear, and we'll get to know in one word,
34:01.3
in another, na hindi puro mga matapang
34:03.3
na salita lang ito, or hindi
34:05.3
lang ito yung mga rhetorical reassurances,
34:07.3
hindi lang ito yung mga
34:09.3
usual na ginagawa ng US,
34:11.3
you need to see something different,
34:13.3
something special.
34:15.3
So some of the things I want to see is whether
34:17.3
anong klasa yung mga barkong gagamitin natin
34:19.3
sa mga susunod na resupply missions
34:21.3
sa Iong Insyol, anong mga diplomatic
34:23.3
measures na gagawin natin, are we going to
34:25.3
openly threaten the potential for
34:27.3
withdrawing our ambassadors or
34:29.3
degrading our diplomatic ties? Anong mga
34:31.3
strategic countermeasures katulad ng
34:33.3
LSAID? Dito ako sa Cordilleras,
34:35.3
ang China po ay nagre-rely
34:37.3
sa Pilipinas sa nickel, and some
34:39.3
of the very, very important
34:41.3
resources. Are we gonna
34:43.3
also leverage that?
34:45.3
Because actually,
34:47.3
yung mga SM gano'n,
34:49.3
oo, dependent sila sa China, pero sa
34:51.3
totoo lang, pagdating sa mga strategic
34:53.3
minerals and all, mas dependent pa ang China
34:55.3
sa atin, kaysa kailangan nila yung mga resources
34:57.3
natin to make some of their high-tech stock.
34:59.3
Which, by the way, they sell back to us
35:01.3
in Finnish form with ten times the price.
35:03.3
But anyway, mga bagong usapan yun, yung mga
35:05.3
neo-colonial economics na ginawa din
35:07.3
ng mga western countries sa atin before. But
35:09.3
going back to this,
35:11.3
you wanna also see, ano ba talagang
35:15.3
in terms of tutulungan tayo ng Amerika? Because
35:19.3
correct me if I'm wrong, ano bang binigay sa atin
35:21.3
ng Amerika ng malaking armas na
35:23.3
pwede ipang tapat natin sa China?
35:25.3
May binigay ba silang maganda sa atin
35:27.3
ng mga F-16 fighters? May
35:29.3
binigay ba sila sa atin ng magandang
35:33.3
May in-offer ba sila sa atin na training
35:35.3
or something na down the road? Potentially, we can have
35:37.3
F-35 fighters, not F-22
35:39.3
kasi sa kanila talaga yan.
35:41.3
May binigay na strategic missile systems
35:43.3
bang US sa atin? HIMARS, Patriot
35:45.3
missile systems bang sa atin ang US?
35:49.3
yun ang tanong ko ngayon.
35:51.3
Ano ang, if ever magbibigay ng weapon
35:53.3
systems ang Amerika sa Pilipinas,
35:55.3
how decisive those weapon systems
35:57.3
will be? And under what conditions?
35:59.3
And in exchange for what?
36:01.3
Are they gonna demand us to
36:03.3
give them more access, ETKA, sa Batanes,
36:05.3
sa Cagayan, gano'n?
36:09.3
it's good to hear na meron tayong mga aliado
36:11.3
and supporters because after all, the reason
36:13.3
why ang China'y natatakot na
36:15.3
to escalate it, kaya water
36:17.3
cannon pa rin ginagamit, hindi cannon,
36:19.3
is because ayaw nila magkaroon
36:21.3
sila ng direct clash with the US.
36:23.3
Pero kung tutulungan naman tayo ng US,
36:25.3
ano ba talagang tulong na ito?
36:27.3
Ito ba yung mga usual na binibigay nila
36:29.3
over the past 30, 40, 50 years which did
36:31.3
not make the Philippines a world class
36:33.3
military? Because kung titignan mo,
36:35.3
lahat ng mga matitinong armas
36:37.3
na kinukuha natin recent years ay
36:39.3
galing sa Korea. Yung mga warships
36:41.3
natin galing sa Korea. Yung
36:43.3
F-A-50s natin galing sa Korea na hindi
36:45.3
naman super fighter or upgraded trainer.
36:47.3
Yung missile systems natin galing naman
36:49.3
sa India. Yung submarines na gusto
36:51.3
natin bilhin, potentially galing sa France.
36:53.3
Right? Or Spain. Right? Or
36:55.3
Baka Korea rin. Ito yung tatlo. So,
36:57.3
nasaan ang Amerika dyan?
36:59.3
Nasaan ang US dyan? Now, of course,
37:01.3
maganda na sinabi
37:03.3
ng ibang aliado natin na the mutual
37:05.3
defense treaty is very clear that they'll intervene.
37:07.3
Of course, maganda yan
37:09.3
but before talking about them
37:11.3
intervening directly,
37:13.3
intervening directly in an
37:15.3
event of conflict, sana naman may makuha
37:17.3
din tayo ng mga matitinong armas
37:19.3
na pwede natin gamitin for self-defense
37:21.3
reasons. Advanced fighter jets,
37:23.3
advanced missile systems,
37:25.3
strategic weapon systems, mga gano'n.
37:27.3
So, yun guys ang mga
37:29.3
dapat pag-usapan natin next week.
37:31.3
Again, I'll skip it here. Medyo napahabang
37:33.3
usapan natin. Don't worry guys. Hindi naman tayo
37:35.3
galit. Ang sinasabi ko lang sana magkakaroon
37:39.3
tamang pagsusuri sa lahat ng
37:41.3
mga bagay na pinag-usapan natin.
37:43.3
Hindi pwede marites-marites lang itong gentleman's
37:45.3
agreement na yan. Kailangan talaga natin
37:47.3
mag-research. Kailangan talaga natin investigate
37:49.3
what was this gentleman's agreement?
37:51.3
Did it violate our constitution?
37:59.3
to our national interests? Should there be
38:01.3
legal and criminal charges?
38:03.3
That's one. B, meron bang
38:05.3
active disinformation campaign
38:07.3
ng isang bully sa West Philippine Sea?
38:09.3
Sino yung mga tao nila? Anong
38:11.3
kailangan natin gawin? Lahat na yan dapat
38:13.3
titignan natin. At pangatlo, kung tutulangan
38:15.3
tayo ng mga aliado natin, anong ba
38:17.3
talaga mga bibigyan nila sa atin? Anong mga
38:19.3
armas? Under what conditions?
38:21.3
At anong kapalit nun? Because there's no free
38:23.3
launch in international affairs, just to be clear about this.
38:25.3
So yun po yung mga bagay na dapat
38:27.3
pag-usapan natin.
38:29.3
Ayan na naman yung mga
38:33.3
Hello, ang Ukraine po ang nakakuha ng
38:35.3
hundred billion dollars in military
38:37.3
aid. At ang Ukraine po ay
38:39.3
hindi, it's not even a US treaty ally.
38:41.3
And they're getting that much aid.
38:43.3
So actually, using the Ukraine model
38:45.3
is quite problematic. Ang problema
38:47.3
sa Ukraine is land sila,
38:49.3
land country sila. So yung border nila with Russia
38:51.3
is very near. And Russia, which lost
38:53.3
hundreds of thousands of people
38:55.3
because dictator yung kanilang system,
38:57.3
dictatorship, nagtatapon lang sila
38:59.3
ng tao dyan sa gyera nila.
39:01.3
Sa yung meat grinder na tinitawag na sobrang.
39:03.3
So please lang, you know, actually
39:05.3
the Ukraine example is not really the best
39:07.3
example because Ukraine is not even a treaty ally
39:09.3
and yet it got hundred billion dollars of aid
39:11.3
from US and others. And they're gonna
39:13.3
still get tens of billions. Ang Pilipinas kaya, not even.
39:15.3
The Philippines is a treaty ally. And by
39:17.3
the way, we don't have a land border with China.
39:19.3
So it's gonna be a totally different ballgame.
39:21.3
But anyway, I'll keep it there mga kameta.
39:23.3
Thank you very much again sa mga nangining sa atin.
39:25.3
So this is just a preview of
39:27.3
God-willing discussions we wanna have next week.
39:29.3
Siyempre a weekend and all of that.
39:31.3
But I hope to also reach out to
39:33.3
Justice Carpio. We'll have hopefully an interview with him.
39:35.3
I did an interview with him pero dun sa show natin
39:37.3
View from Manila dun sa Signal TV
39:39.3
TV5. Abangan niyan.
39:41.3
But I hope to also have a podcast
39:43.3
with him. I'm also looking at talking to
39:45.3
some other experts also based in the US.
39:47.3
And down the road, to be honest guys, I wanna
39:49.3
also talk to people based in China and other places
39:51.3
as long as sigurado tayo na
39:53.3
in good faith ang conversations natin.
39:55.3
Alright? On that note, thank you very much
39:57.3
guys. Maraming salamat. Atman happy
39:59.3
Easter and have a blessed Sabbath
40:01.3
day and Easter day
40:03.3
tomorrow. Salamat po. God bless.
