00:21.4
dun sa mga haters dyan.
00:23.7
May natin pag-usapan ng Google Trends.
00:26.5
So ito na, mukhang...
00:27.5
Credibility ko ba? Credibility ko ba?
00:33.5
Parang nag-hesitate ka.
00:35.5
Hello? Nagka-couch?
00:37.8
Parang nag-hesitate ka.
00:43.4
Sir Ronald, you are beyond credibility.
00:47.5
Nabuksan ko na yung Okta.
00:49.0
Ganon kakamahalang nagbibigyan natin sa Okta.
00:51.1
Pero pag-usapan natin mga may Sokta,
00:52.8
kasi in fairness, halos pareho yung lumalabas.
00:55.3
Except mas mataas pa si Ben Tulfo dito.
00:58.2
Nako, may chance.
00:59.3
Talawang Tulfo, mag number one and number two.
01:02.0
But bago natin pag-usapan yan,
01:03.8
let's first talk about the Pulse Asia survey that came out.
01:07.1
Actually, two parts yan.
01:09.1
First, dito sa approval ratings,
01:12.5
and then sa chacha issue.
01:14.1
Mukhang na-et sa puwera yung mga chacha na yan.
01:16.3
So good luck kay Gadon.
01:18.4
First, pag-usapan natin itong approval ratings.
01:22.3
So Marcos Jr.'s approval ratings,
01:24.5
this is per Pulse Asia,
01:30.8
I mean, this is pretty low, right?
01:32.6
I mean, lower than Pinoy at this point, right?
01:34.9
Mga 60 plus 70 na si Pinoy, diba?
01:37.5
So this is crazy.
01:39.1
And NCR, 47% lang siya sa NCR.
01:42.2
That's really, really low.
01:43.4
So actually, majority, hindi na ka-approve sa kanya sa NCR.
01:47.6
Ayan na, nang-parly ka tayo.
01:49.6
In Mindanao, it's 40%.
01:52.6
So ang baba ng approval niya.
01:54.5
60% has turned against him.
01:56.4
Now, if he were to worry,
01:58.4
especially among class,
01:59.3
yung mga pinakamahihirap na ating mga kababayan,
02:02.8
so mukhang may kinalaman ito sa ekonomiya.
02:04.8
I don't think it's disinformation, whatever.
02:06.8
I think some people, some of our kababayan
02:08.9
are hurting very much dito sa inflation issue na yan,
02:12.0
which could get even worse in the coming years
02:14.2
for many reasons.
02:15.4
Of course, napanood mo yung interview namin ni Justice Carpio.
02:18.9
Of course, sabog yung chuhak ko.
02:20.1
Kusit, pagod na pagod ako.
02:21.2
But from what I can remember dun sa discussion namin,
02:24.5
yung issue ng electricity and power crisis could be big.
02:27.9
Kaya desperado din tayo to dream.
02:29.3
Daily in the West,
02:29.9
you can read bank.
02:31.3
Now, so 48% lang sa EE.
02:33.7
His highest approval,
02:34.9
this is interesting, Ronald.
02:37.4
Ang pinakasupportive kay BBM,
02:40.9
Well, more than C.
02:42.0
Yung mga kalahin natin, C.
02:43.8
nasa loob ng gated communities,
02:45.0
hindi ka makapasok dyan.
02:46.0
So, first of all, let's talk about this
02:48.3
before we talk about the other side.
02:50.4
This is pretty low, right?
02:52.4
And yet, it's the middle classes
02:54.1
and the more quote-unquote educated
02:55.7
who are most supportive of him.
02:57.0
How do you make sense out of this?
03:03.8
dahil kumpara sa drop
03:06.3
ni Digonga or ni Pinoy,
03:08.4
hindi nangyari yung ganyang kadramatik
03:11.6
Ikalawa ay lahat sila,
03:13.3
lahat naman sila bumaba eh.
03:15.3
Ang pinakamababa ang drop
03:16.9
ay si Senate President Migsubiri
03:19.7
within the margin of error.
03:22.1
Pero significant yung
03:23.7
kay Speaker Martin,
03:28.9
Vice President Sara Duterte
03:33.1
Dahil kung titignan mo,
03:34.8
hindi naman kandidato si
03:36.2
President Bongbong sa 2028 eh.
03:39.3
So, mas malaki yung impact
03:40.6
kay Vice President Sara Duterte
03:42.2
kahit mas maliit yung kanyang drop na 7%.
03:44.7
Dahil yung kanyang drop
03:48.3
Yung mga survey last year
03:50.9
by increments, bumababa rin siya.
03:55.0
in relation yan, dun sa isang
03:56.9
pwedeng nating pausapan later on,
03:59.3
yung presidential preference
04:01.8
na nalampasan na siya
04:03.4
ni Senator Rafi Tulpo.
04:06.4
in terms of political impact,
04:09.0
kay Vice President Sara
04:11.5
the 2028 presidential election.
04:15.4
mas mataas naman talaga
04:18.9
at saka head of government.
04:21.8
sa kanya pupunta.
04:24.0
At kung titignan natin,
04:26.9
ang pinakamalaking
04:35.9
ng mga may hirap,
04:41.1
na tama yung sabi mo,
04:47.7
significant na drop siya
04:51.0
yung din drop niya.
04:54.0
hindi lang ng gut level,
05:01.8
isa rin naka-significant,
05:03.7
pareha silang bumaba
05:05.5
ni Vice President Sarab.
05:07.8
Pareha silang significant
05:11.5
medyo kay Vice President
05:13.6
bailiwick niya yan.
05:15.1
Bailiwick niya yung Visayas,
05:16.9
pero significant yung kanyang drop.
05:20.3
hindi masyadong pinapansin yan eh.
05:22.3
Yung ibang survey firms,
05:23.7
hindi na sinasama yan eh.
05:25.6
Dahil napakaliit eh.
05:27.5
Yung D ang pinakamalak eh.
05:30.1
significant din yung
05:31.1
poorest of the poor.
05:39.7
significant yung tama
05:47.0
So, may tama rin yan
05:51.4
tsaka kay Speaker Martin.
05:55.8
Just to be clear, Sir Ronald,
05:58.2
sorry for cutting you there.
05:59.9
just for people to know
06:01.1
the context of the numbers.
06:06.3
only 48% among the poorest Filipinos
06:09.1
and only 40% sa Mindanao.
06:11.1
So, the reason why I find this very relevant
06:14.6
the usual dilawan rhetoric na
06:18.1
it's not like nawala yung disinformation, right?
06:20.6
Andyan pa rin yung mga
06:21.4
all the whole Maharlika,
06:22.7
blah, blah, blah, right?
06:23.6
Andyan pa rin yung mga bloggers niya.
06:26.3
hindi mo maboto ang tao
06:27.5
or hindi na ge-expressed
06:28.5
ang sentiment ng tao
06:29.4
based on disinformation lahat, right?
06:31.0
They're also looking at
06:31.7
some objective realities.
06:33.4
And this is where we're seeing
06:34.4
BBM paying the price.
06:35.4
But you're absolutely correct
06:36.5
that Sara Duterte's numbers
06:38.1
are also quite troubling for her.
06:39.6
While it's higher than BBM,
06:42.2
she went down across the board.
06:43.7
And I think the only reason why
06:45.1
she is still in the 60s territory
06:48.1
is because of Mindanao.
06:49.4
She has 92% approval rating in Mindanao.
06:53.1
So, if not for the Mindanao factor,
06:55.4
I think she would be also
06:56.3
in the very low 60s
06:58.3
or potentially in the high 50s territory.
07:02.1
And I think in the same way,
07:03.4
if BBM was not so low in Mindanao
07:05.6
in the 40% territory,
07:07.3
perhaps its overall numbers
07:08.7
would be more decent
07:09.8
kasi it's at 66% in Luzon.
07:12.1
But you're also absolutely right.
07:14.0
It looks like across the board,
07:16.2
everyone is doing bad.
07:18.2
31% lang sa kay Romualde.
07:21.1
So, if anyone was looking at him
07:23.3
as a potential successor,
07:27.1
He's 25% in Mindanao.
07:31.6
parang ang tanong is,
07:32.8
buti nga may mga 25% pa.
07:35.5
Sandali yung buting na.
07:38.0
Baka mataas pa yung approval rating mo.
07:43.5
ako ang frenemy number one ako sa Davao.
07:45.7
So, baka may 50-50 chance pa ako dyan.
07:48.3
And interestingly though,
07:52.0
his Mindanao connection helped him.
07:56.4
Yeah, so actually,
08:02.1
they're benefiting from the Mindanao factor.
08:04.4
But if you look at everything else,
08:06.0
it doesn't look good.
08:07.0
I mean, Sara is 52% lang
08:09.1
sa National Capital Region.
08:11.7
And Zubiri is only 41%.
08:14.1
So, across the board,
08:15.6
hindi na lang sinama yung Supreme Court na lang.
08:18.1
Parang hindi na lang nakalimutan ng tao.
08:20.8
So, you're looking at high levels
08:23.2
of disapproval here.
08:25.1
significant drops
08:28.4
across the country,
08:32.3
it's really the Mindanao factor
08:33.6
because her Mindanao numbers
08:34.8
practically didn't change.
08:36.3
Negative 1 is margin of error.
08:38.0
So, irrelevant yan.
08:39.8
Si Zubiri actually got plus 10
08:43.0
which actually pushed up his numbers.
08:47.1
Wasn't it because he was fair on Kibuloy?
08:49.9
I'm trying to connect.
08:52.6
I'm telling you, Ronald,
08:53.4
maybe the Kibuloy position,
08:56.2
this is a big jump,
08:58.5
And si Martin Romaldes,
09:00.3
negative 17 sa Mindanao.
09:05.1
BBM is negative 22
09:07.8
and Romaldes is negative 17.
09:10.4
I'm sorry, Ronald.
09:11.5
I cannot think of any other major reason
09:13.5
because inflation has been here for two years.
09:16.2
Any other reason than the Digong attacks.
09:19.5
the Digong attacks
09:22.2
Basically, sa Mindanao.
09:23.3
Pero sa classes kasi,
09:29.0
sa poorest of the poor.
09:36.5
Si Romaldes yung 30% drop
09:39.4
So, ba't si Romaldes
09:40.3
sinisisiya sa inflation?
09:41.8
Para, kawawa naman tong tao to.
09:43.4
Wala namang kinalaman sa inflation.
09:45.5
Medyo unfair yata to.
09:50.8
you're definitely right.
09:52.5
I see the inflation
09:53.5
as the class element.
09:56.1
I can see the Duterte attacks
09:57.3
as the geographic...
09:58.4
Especially in Mindanao.
10:00.7
I mean, the Mindanao...
10:01.5
Ang sinasabi kasi nila,
10:03.3
na medyo nag-taper up naman
10:06.5
these past two months.
10:08.5
Pero medyo station period dyan eh.
10:10.5
Hindi kagad mararamdaman ng tao yan.
10:12.2
Ang nararamdaman pa rin ng tao,
10:13.8
yung high food inflation last year.
10:17.0
At yung inflation
10:20.8
New Year and Christmas
10:23.1
na naubos yung pera nila.
10:26.4
yung pari-in yung
10:27.5
yung nararamdaman ng tao.
10:30.4
pagbaba ng inflation
10:32.0
these past two months,
10:33.4
baka maramdaman yan
10:35.4
But not in this survey.
10:38.8
What we're saying is that
10:41.2
pagtaas ng presya, right?
10:43.6
prices are going down.
10:46.2
yung pagtaas ng presya
10:49.0
So I think people have to remember
10:50.1
when we say inflation is coming down,
10:51.8
it doesn't mean prices are coming down.
10:53.6
the increase in the prices.
10:54.8
It's slowing down.
10:56.3
it's about general
10:57.2
it's about general inflation.
10:59.8
Kung i-deconstruct mo yung
11:08.0
At yun yung gut level.
11:09.8
Yun yung gut level na
11:14.8
The other pulsation survey
11:16.4
that we have to discuss
11:17.3
which is very important
11:18.2
is yung survey nila sa Chacha.
11:19.9
Because mas nakatay,
11:23.6
ang mga tao dyan.
11:24.7
Ang mga tao dyan.
11:24.8
Ang mga tao dyan.
11:25.4
we've seen a major
11:27.8
in the number of support
11:36.6
it used to be like
11:37.4
40, 30, 30, right?
11:39.6
now it's totally like
11:44.3
I'm just trying to pull out
11:45.9
para lang people will appreciate
11:49.6
Naetsepwera talaga
11:50.3
yung mga nag-etsepwera.
11:56.9
in terms of support,
11:58.0
yes, the constitution
11:58.8
should be amended now.
12:03.4
With margin of error,
12:06.1
baka 3% na lang yan.
12:07.4
Sila Robin Hood Padilla,
12:12.7
hindi yun yung shocking.
12:15.1
there was a negative
12:18.8
over the past year.
12:27.0
hindi siya chartered to change.
12:27.9
It's just amendments.
12:29.3
43% more Filipinos
12:31.4
not wanting to be changed.
12:34.7
of political advertisement,
12:39.0
Guinness Book of Records
12:54.3
how do you read that?
12:59.1
Hanggang ngayon kasi
13:00.1
walang umaamin na
13:02.5
sa People's Initiative?
13:05.7
E, alam naman ako
13:10.5
yung impact niyan.
13:15.4
hindi na ipapaliwanag
13:17.3
ng Pilipino diyan?
13:19.6
lifting of term limits,
13:23.6
shift to a new system,
13:28.3
negative yung dating.
13:29.6
Negative yung dating.
13:31.1
parang walang magulang
13:33.0
yung People's Initiative
13:37.2
walang impact assessment.
13:40.0
what will they do for us?
13:42.0
Economic na economic,
13:45.3
political agenda diyan.
13:50.3
political machinery
13:53.6
nagde-depensa niyan.
13:55.6
walang ruling party,
13:56.7
walang ruling coalition,
14:00.5
na nakikita ka sa malakanyang.
14:05.4
dapat ang front line niyan
14:08.5
or the ruling party
14:11.1
political advisors,
14:14.9
ang laking vacuum
14:17.2
pinag-uusapan natin kalina,
14:19.1
yung substance talaga.
14:21.1
Yung deliverables
14:22.3
na hinihintay ng tao.
14:26.5
Bilang na ang mga oras
14:32.5
Meron ka bang nakita
14:38.7
yung napag-usapan nyo
14:39.5
ni Justice Carpio,
14:43.3
lalo na electricity.
14:46.7
this is the worst
14:47.7
regulatory capture
15:00.6
hindi lang PISAM,
15:08.0
President Bongbong
15:11.7
anti-regulatory capture,
15:13.3
eh, wala lang nangyayari.
15:14.5
At makikita yung impact
15:16.8
pataas yung kuryente.
15:18.3
Ewan ko yung kuryente mo,
15:19.6
pero yung kuryente ko
15:21.7
Hindi naman nadoble
15:22.6
yung aking pag-amit.
15:26.2
mahal na yung kuryente.
15:28.5
paano pa yung mga D&E?
15:31.2
tinatamaan na eh,
15:35.6
papunta na ako ng D, eh.
15:37.5
papunta ka na ng A.
15:39.2
Magkaiba tayo ng direction, eh.
15:40.5
Papunta ako ng ano,
15:43.8
pero papunta ng D.
15:52.1
yung pareng sigla.
15:54.1
nakikita naman sa mga images, eh.
16:04.6
parang lang masaya.
16:06.0
Dahil kayo ni Justice Carpio,
16:07.3
masyado kayo seryoso, eh.
16:11.0
Sobrang pagod ako.
16:12.0
Narita mo na yung mukha ko,
16:14.7
Hindi mo gino-joke
16:15.5
si Justice Carpio.
16:16.5
Ako lang gino-joke ko, eh.
16:17.7
Hindi gusto ko mag-joke,
16:19.5
ang sobrang sabog ko,
16:21.5
I'm just struggling
16:23.6
To be honest about it.
16:25.3
Maganda naman, di ba?
16:26.3
Maganda naman yung mga tanong ko.
16:28.4
Kasi I gave it all na
16:29.6
kung anong man doon.
16:30.6
Yun na nang gino-joke ko.
16:33.9
iba yung herdo mo
16:36.3
kay Justice Carpio
16:37.1
kesa dito sa akin.
16:39.0
pagsa ikaw kasama.
16:41.7
hindi kay Justice Carpio,
16:44.4
Pinagtatawanan niya
16:45.9
si ex-human rights lawyer.
16:49.1
ako pang seryoso.
16:50.4
Is this laughable?
16:52.4
of national interest
16:53.6
na mga ganyan-ganyan.
16:55.5
Nilaid mo pa ako,
16:57.4
Pinanata ni Panelo.
16:59.2
Pinanata ni Panelo
17:00.1
si ex-human rights lawyer.
17:01.7
Kung ano-ano doon
17:09.3
kinuha niyong isa
17:10.1
yung trabaho nung isa.
17:12.0
ex-human rights lawyer.
17:17.6
si ex-human rights lawyer,
17:19.0
galing siya ng China.
17:25.9
baka naman meron siyang
17:29.6
Baka galing China,
17:30.7
medala siyang mautay.
17:33.2
senior kay Panelo.
17:34.5
Ayan na naman tayo.
17:36.5
sa gentleman's agreement
17:37.7
yung mga iba dyan.
17:39.8
I think that sets it.
17:40.6
Pero you have to be a gentleman
17:41.9
to have a gentleman's agreement.
17:43.0
Ayan na naman tayo.
17:46.8
naiwala sa human rights.
17:48.2
So whatever you choose
17:52.3
wag mo ako yung paa.
17:54.7
Yung nanay ko parating,
17:56.0
ingat ka dyan kay Ronald.
18:03.2
Because si Ronald,
18:03.8
I think he's perfectly set.
18:04.9
Ikaw naman makakasunuhan
18:07.0
Ikaw ay collaborator lang.
18:11.4
Pero I dare them naman.
18:15.0
na magsampas akin.
18:16.0
Feeling ko, Ronald.
18:18.5
inaaway ka ni Robin Hood Padilla,
18:21.5
lalo ka pang sumikat.
18:22.4
So siguro natakot.
18:23.6
Diba wag mo nang patulan
18:26.0
Sisi ka lang yan.
18:29.5
especially the things I know.
18:36.2
off the record tayo.
18:38.0
Okay, okay, okay.
18:43.1
I think this sets the tone
18:44.1
perfectly for our next topic
18:45.5
kasi pag-usapan naman natin
18:48.9
and mukhang tumutugma
18:51.7
tsaka Pulse Asia.
18:53.6
it's always an interesting thing
18:55.2
authoritative surveys
18:56.1
more or less overlapping
18:59.4
the TULFOs are doing
19:01.0
than the other surveys.
19:02.8
And at the same time,
19:04.0
nakikita natin na
19:04.8
the true progressives
19:06.8
medyo nahihirapan pa rin.
19:08.2
So pag-usapan natin
19:09.4
not to mention also
19:11.1
a TULFO also leading
19:12.9
the presidential race.
19:14.9
Which we already knew
19:15.9
from a different survey
19:16.9
na hindi natin sasabihin,
19:18.6
pero dito sa Pulse Asia,
19:20.0
more or less pinapakita
19:21.3
although it's a much more,
19:22.5
much closer race.
19:24.2
Sir Ronald Llamas.
19:26.1
Pinahamak mo na naman ako,
19:27.4
pero patawarin kita.
19:30.0
Maraming salamat.
19:31.1
Damay-damay lang.
19:32.1
Damay-damay lang.
19:35.2
Damay-damay lang.
