ANG DAHILAN KUNG BAKIT NANANATILI PA RIN SI SARA SA GABINETE NI MARCOS JR. ~TRILLANES
01:13.9
it will confuse them, or
01:15.8
it can be used later, or
01:18.4
tipong he wants to
01:19.9
deal with the Dutertes one at a time
01:23.4
pwedeng wisdom eh
01:26.0
behind this move. We may
01:28.0
not agree with it, yung mga
01:29.8
straightforward na
01:32.9
kalasan, if a fire
01:36.0
ka lang agad, may mga potential
01:37.9
backlash din naman yun, diba?
01:47.5
baka makagain pa ng sympathy.
01:52.1
don't know, no, yung
01:53.8
rational behind it,
02:01.7
para lang hindi ma-consolidate further
02:03.7
yung ranks ng Dutertes,
02:07.6
sooner or later, tatanggalin pa rin.
02:10.6
Tatanggalin pa rin sa
02:11.7
pwesto, kasi magiging
02:13.4
untenable eh, kasi incompetente, no?
02:16.1
Ang laki ng problema ng
02:19.4
at walang, ano, walang ginagawa,
02:21.7
at ang reports sa
02:22.8
DepEd head office ay
02:27.7
pumasok si Sarah Duterte.
02:29.8
If at all, ano, so, parang
02:31.7
yung mga subalterns lang
02:33.8
niya yung nagpapatakbo ng
02:38.0
which is, sabihin nun,
02:39.9
walang reforms na
02:41.9
ginagawa, walang new ideas,
02:44.5
it's just, ano lang,
02:48.1
kumbaga, kung paano pinapatakbo
02:49.8
ng mga teacher yung classroom, di gano'n na lang.
02:53.6
Ito po, in terms of
02:55.4
the dynamics within the old unity,
02:57.7
itong bakbakan ni,
02:59.8
President Marcos, at saka nito, mga Duterte,
03:02.6
although may asterisk yung Sarah Duterte,
03:05.0
well, at least on face value,
03:07.0
siya may pa rin sila.
03:09.1
Alam mo, nakikita nyo yung pwede
03:10.2
mangyari, pagkatapos sa midterm
03:12.1
elections. Kasi, di ba, ang conventional wisdom,
03:14.5
pag second half ng presidential term,
03:17.6
nadidiminish yung influence and power
03:20.4
nung nakaupong presidente.
03:24.2
na iba ron, baka this would render
03:29.8
Hindi niya napada pa yung mga Duterte before the midterms.
03:32.9
Kaya, anong basa nyo po, Ron?
03:35.0
I totally agree with that
03:36.6
picture, ano. Historically,
03:39.1
ganyan ang nangyari.
03:40.4
After the midterms,
03:42.1
nagkagravitate na yung mga political forces
03:49.1
for the 2020 elections.
03:52.4
leads me to believe
03:53.9
na marami pang mangyari
04:01.4
the very least, or at least before
04:03.6
the elections. Kasi,
04:07.3
time is on the side of
04:09.8
the Dutertes. Habang
04:11.9
nandiyan siya, eh,
04:23.7
for sure, after 2025,
04:26.3
magkakalo ng realignment
04:27.9
kasi that's an opening.
04:35.9
for sure, ano na yan, nagkasulian na
04:37.9
talaga ng kandila yan.
04:39.8
Ang tanong nalang dito, kung
04:41.3
paano gagawin yung
04:49.6
kayo po si President Marcos,
04:51.9
eh ako pa yung presidente ngayon.
04:53.6
Eh, hindi ba isang malaking dagok
04:55.9
naman o solusyon sa problema nga yan,
04:58.2
eh, kapapasukin kayo ay CC.
04:59.8
Pa-arrest ko kayo.
05:01.6
Di ba? Malaking kabawasan yun
05:03.3
naman doon sa influence sa mga Duterte.
05:07.4
Yes, but that's, ano, medyo
05:09.5
magaspang na nagalawan
05:11.8
yun. Pero, yun nga, now that you
05:13.7
mentioned, again, yung ICC,
05:15.8
yun nga yung game changer. If ever
05:17.8
that comes, ano, sabihin mo
05:19.5
middle of the year, eh,
05:22.2
magbabago talaga yung
05:23.3
equation, magbabago yung
05:25.4
dynamics, magkakrumble
05:27.4
talaga yung Duterte
05:31.2
Mawawala na yan, maliligaw na yan.
05:33.6
Pagka si Sarah Duterte
05:35.3
na lang ang maiwan without the father,
05:37.8
ano ito? Matutuloy
05:39.4
rin itong magkakapatid na to
05:41.2
kasi all this time, while
05:47.2
pero, at the end of the day, nakikinabang
05:49.4
sila doon sa ginawang
05:51.5
myth nung tatay nila,
05:55.5
nawala na yun, eh,
05:57.2
hindi naman ito mga ito self-made, eh.
05:59.8
Magkakulaps talaga, puro yabang
06:02.4
natutunan nila dito sa mundo, no?
06:07.8
yung vindictiveness,
06:10.3
kaya makikita mo, pag nagsasalita
06:13.8
almost the same, ano eh,
06:21.8
Senator Grillanes, no?
06:23.8
Alam mo na, pag-uusapan na natin ito before,
06:25.7
pero I don't know whether, based on your observations,
06:27.6
something changed in between.
06:29.8
Kasi ang conventional wisdom nung iba dyan,
06:32.8
ako, magkakagulong
06:35.2
Pag ipinadampot itong mga Duterte.
06:38.1
Given what we have seen,
06:39.5
or we have been seeing over the past
06:41.5
several months, mga turnout
06:43.5
doon sa mga rallies, no?
06:45.1
Sa mga pre-rallies nila,
06:47.2
alam mo nakikita nyo dyan? Magiging magulo ba yan?
06:49.5
O madugo? Kung sakali man
06:51.1
na iserve nga yung
06:53.8
warrant ng ICC, kung lumabas man yun
06:55.7
under this administration.
06:59.8
pwedeng maging magulo yan kung gugustuhin
07:01.8
ng mga Duterte maging magulo, no?
07:04.1
And remember, they're very much
07:05.9
capable of doing that.
07:07.7
Kaya one thing you can say to
07:12.2
is, ayaw niya nung gulo, no?
07:14.8
Nung papa-aresto siya,
07:16.4
he could have, ano,
07:19.9
dun sa supporta ng mga
07:23.3
Nung base niya. Pero, hindi eh.
07:26.8
Hinarap niya yun.
07:28.5
Ngayon, ako ina-anticipate,
07:29.8
ko lang yung mga gagawin
07:31.2
itong Duterte camp,
07:33.4
eh baka magpa-file yan ng, ano,
07:35.5
petition for TRO sa Supreme Court
07:38.2
pag lumabas yung warrant
07:39.2
to give them some time, no?
07:42.0
They're hoping kung magkaroon
07:43.8
ng TRO dyan, or eventually
07:46.0
kung injunction man yan,
07:47.8
permanent injunction,
07:55.8
From that scenario.
07:59.8
very sure it will be a very difficult
08:01.9
time, either way, for them
08:03.8
kasi the clock would be ticking
08:06.3
pag nag-file ka ng
08:07.6
TRO, sabihin, sige, papakinggan yung
08:09.6
arguments, dinaantayin yung decision.
08:14.4
kung hindi nagbigay ng TRO,
08:18.2
Mahirap, mahirap yan
08:19.7
either way for Duterte, being a
08:21.8
very paranoid man,
08:23.6
eh, the best scenario
08:25.8
for him is to flee the country,
08:29.8
Kasi hindi niya kayang maging kibuloy,
08:32.2
no? Kasi may entorad siya.
08:34.6
Kung magtatago siya,
08:36.0
madaling mahanap yan. Maraming
08:39.4
ano dyan, magli-leak
08:41.9
ng information kung nasan siya.
08:43.9
So, you can basically
08:46.1
rule that out. Ngayon, yung
08:48.0
senaryo na magtatago
08:50.3
siya sa likod ng kanyang mga
08:51.9
supporters, magbabarikada siya,
08:56.5
Pero nakakapagod yun.
08:58.6
No? Nakakapagod yun.
08:59.8
At napakagastos nun.
09:02.1
So, sooner or later,
09:04.9
the law enforcers
09:07.7
will prevail, no?
09:12.0
mga different scenarios
09:15.0
Duterte. And I believe
09:18.1
yung pinaka-convenient
09:20.3
sa kanya, yun ang
09:21.9
kukuni niya, which is to flee the country.
09:24.4
Yun ang tansya ko doon.
09:26.1
Kung ganun man, may maasahan ba siyang
09:28.0
tulong sa China sa tingin niyo?
09:29.8
Panim na taon niyang sinuportahan ng China.
09:31.9
Actually, hanggang ngayon.
09:34.2
Palagay ko naman,
09:35.2
palagay ko naman, bibigyan siya ng
09:37.7
shelter nun. Kung magpapile siya
09:41.9
asylum, di doon siya
09:43.6
pagbibigyan siya doon.
09:47.7
it will turn counter to the interest of China
09:55.6
kukup-kupi naman siya. And that
09:57.8
would be the best case scenario.
09:59.8
For him, doon na lang siya. Meron siyang
10:04.2
ano, he can fire away
10:08.0
media o kung ano man.
10:10.1
But, without having
10:12.0
to fear na biglang
10:14.2
policeman will barge
10:16.0
in doon sa kanyang pinto
10:17.8
at damputin siya.
10:23.7
So, ito rito. Last na talaga.
10:26.4
Huling-huling na talaga.
10:27.7
Okay. Tati nabanggit niya
10:29.8
yung parang all options were open
10:31.3
kung ikaw si Duterte po, ano?
10:33.7
Kumusta naman yung
10:34.6
personal safety nitong si
10:37.6
BBM? Kung ganito katindi yung
10:39.4
senaryo na nakikita niya.
10:41.8
Nabanggit niya may alleged ouster plot.
10:44.3
How about the personal safety?
10:50.5
Paniniwala ko dyan.
10:55.4
doon sa political
10:56.8
tensions na nangyari.
10:59.8
for sure, they have
11:04.8
they have applied
11:06.2
or implemented yung
11:08.4
emergency protocols nila.
11:10.5
Baka nag-double up yan sila ng
11:15.8
Nag-raise sila ng
11:16.9
alert level. Merong
11:18.6
ginagawang extra security
11:28.9
protocols ng PSG. Ano na yan?
11:31.9
Mahitip na. Pero with this,
11:37.9
mas nakabantayan sila
11:40.9
to secure the personal safety
11:43.9
of President Marcos.
11:47.9
halika na kasama ka.
11:55.9
Tusong Visayas, Mindanao,
11:59.9
Sa bagong Pilipinas,
